2,722 complaints in the record involve a death. Dividing that by each brand's total complaints gives a rate, and rates invite comparison in a way raw counts do not.
Here is the comparison, and then the reasons not to trust it as a safety ranking.
| Brand | Complaints | Fatal complaints per 1,000 |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 11,547 | 7.9 |
| Mazda | 17,118 | 7.5 |
| Cadillac | 13,111 | 4.1 |
| Pontiac | 19,799 | 3.5 |
| Honda | 78,599 | 3.3 |
| Toyota | 87,897 | 3.0 |
Lincoln's rate is more than double Toyota's. That sentence is true and almost useless, and it is worth being specific about why.
The denominator is the problem
This is not fatalities per car, per mile, or per crash. It is fatalities per complaint, and complaints are filed voluntarily.
A brand whose owners file a lot of reports about minor faults gets a large denominator and a low rate. Toyota has 87,897 complaints — the second-highest in the record — and most of them describe things that hurt nobody. That alone pushes its fatal share down.
Lincoln has 11,547. A brand with one-eighth the complaints needs only a handful of fatal cases to show a high rate, and small denominators produce unstable numbers.
Fleet age is doing most of the work
Three of the top four are Lincoln, Cadillac and Pontiac. Pontiac has not sold a car since 2010, and all three have fleets skewed heavily old.
An old car is more likely to be in a serious crash for reasons that have nothing to do with the manufacturer: no modern stability control, no side curtain airbags, structures designed back when the heaviest vehicles on the road weighed far less than they do now. The same brands appear at the top of the fire complaint rankings, for the same underlying reason.
Mazda at 7.5 is the one that does not fit that explanation, and we do not have a confident answer for it. With 17,118 complaints, the rate rests on 129 fatal cases — enough to be real, not enough to isolate a cause.
What a rate can and cannot tell you
Rates are better than counts when the denominator means something. Complaints per vehicle sold would be meaningful. Complaints per mile driven would be better still. Neither is available, because nobody publishes how many of each model are still on the road.
So the honest reading of this table is narrow: it describes the composition of each brand's complaint file, and composition is driven by fleet age and owner reporting habits far more than by engineering.
What actually predicts risk in a used car
Three things, none of which are on this chart: the age of the design, whether it has electronic stability control, and whether any recalls on it are still open.
The first two come from the specification, and the third takes a minute. A VIN check returns the open recalls on the exact vehicle, which is a fact about the car in front of you rather than a statistic about the badge on it.
Frequently asked questions
Does a high fatal-complaint rate mean a brand is dangerous?
No. The figure is fatalities per complaint, not per car or per mile. Brands whose owners file many minor complaints have large denominators and low rates, while brands with few complaints show high ones from a handful of cases.
Why do Lincoln, Cadillac and Pontiac rank highest?
Largely fleet age. All three skew old, and Pontiac stopped selling cars in 2010. Older vehicles lack stability control and curtain airbags and were built against weaker crash tests, which raises the share of serious outcomes independently of the manufacturer.
What actually predicts risk in a used car?
The age of the design, the presence of electronic stability control, and whether any recalls remain open on that specific vehicle. The first two are specification questions; the third takes a VIN check and about a minute.
Keep reading
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